What Is the Probability of Getting a Head on the First Toss If the Total Is Odd?

[naspek]

Hi all =)

Question...
A fair coin is tossed thrice. Supposed we denote a "head" turning up as 1 and
"tail" as 0. Given that the total on all three tosses is an odd number,
what is the probability that at first toss, we get a "head"?

i don't have any idea to start answering this question..
please guide me.. =)

 

[rasmhop]

Ok our sample space is
\Omega = \{0,1\}^3 = \{(0,0,0),(0,0,1),(0,1,0),(0,1,1),(1,0,0),(1,0,1),(1,1,0),(1,1,1)\}
We assume a fair coin so every outcome is equally likely which gives us the probability function:
p(x) = \frac{1}{8} \qquad \textrm{for all }x \in \Omega
Now we have two events E_1,E_2. Let E_2 denote the event that the total on all three tosses is an odd number. Let E_1 denote the event that on the first toss we get a head. What you want is the conditional probability P(E_1|E_2). List all elements in E_1 and E_2 and you should be able to compute it using the formula:
P(E_1|E_2) = \frac{P(E_1 \cap E_2)}{P(E_2)}