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[dwarde]

Wordle 1,283 4/6

 

[Orodruin]

I do not understand how you define "most probable". You say in the spoiler that the first of the two words is most probable because of its first letter.

Here are the facts. The letters in positions 2-5 re the same. There are only two words in the entire list, picked or unpicked, that match these same letters in positions 2-5. Neither has been picked until now. It seems to me that if I stick my hand in the bag of all unpicked words, there is a 50-50 probability of pulling out either one of the two candidates. How does the first letter enter the picture?

The point is that it is not sticking your hand in a bag of unused words. ”Most probable” is a misnomer though, ”most likely to have been picked by the editor” would be more appropriate.

Going off the theme that lately the editor has picked words with less common letters, it was perhaps not a bad guess. It comes down to trying to read the editor’s mind.

 

[sbrothy]

Wordle 1,283 5/6*

Spoiler

 

[kuruman]

The point is that it is not sticking your hand in a bag of unused words. ”Most probable” is a misnomer though, ”most likely to have been picked by the editor” would be more appropriate.

Going off the theme that lately the editor has picked words with less common letters, it was perhaps not a bad guess. It comes down to trying to read the editor’s mind.

Thanks for the clarification. The role of the editor is described here. It seems that, after a candidate is randomly selected, the editor "curates" the selection to ensure that it is not offensive to any particular subgroup of people or highly degenerate such as _OUND that is eightfold degenerate and difficult in hard mode. Today's word was twofold degenerate with no obvious perturbation that might cause the editor to pick one over the other. In that regard, it is worth noting that both eigenwords have non-English origins.

 

[jack action]

I do not understand how you define "most probable". You say in the spoiler that the first of the two words is most probable because of its first letter.

Here are the facts. The letters in positions 2-5 re the same. There are only two words in the entire list, picked or unpicked, that match these same letters in positions 2-5. Neither has been picked until now. It seems to me that if I stick my hand in the bag of all unpicked words, there is a 50-50 probability of pulling out either one of the two candidates. How does the first letter enter the picture?

Just to add to @Orodruin 's answer, even if I have a 50/50 probability, my brain needs a reason to pick a word. I could blindly choose to pick the first one but I'm trying something fun and measuring my success rate along the way. After 67 trials, I'm at a 62.7% success rate, which I still find better than 50/50. In the end, I might end up with a 50/50 success rate, just proving my mind-reading qualities are no better than pure randomness.