In probability theory and statistics, given two jointly distributed random variables
X
{\displaystyle X}
and
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
, the conditional probability distribution of Y given X is the probability distribution of
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
when
X
{\displaystyle X}
is known to be a particular value; in some cases the conditional probabilities may be expressed as functions containing the unspecified value
x
{\displaystyle x}
of
X
{\displaystyle X}
as a parameter. When both
X
{\displaystyle X}
and
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
are categorical variables, a conditional probability table is typically used to represent the conditional probability. The conditional distribution contrasts with the marginal distribution of a random variable, which is its distribution without reference to the value of the other variable.
If the conditional distribution of
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
given
X
{\displaystyle X}
is a continuous distribution, then its probability density function is known as the conditional density function. The properties of a conditional distribution, such as the moments, are often referred to by corresponding names such as the conditional mean and conditional variance.
More generally, one can refer to the conditional distribution of a subset of a set of more than two variables; this conditional distribution is contingent on the values of all the remaining variables, and if more than one variable is included in the subset then this conditional distribution is the conditional joint distribution of the included variables.
Homework Statement
given an = ( -1 )(n+1) / \sqrt{n} determine if the infinite series is Absolutely Convergent, Conditionally Convergent, or Divergent.
Homework Equations
I hope I have these theorems down correctly, please correct me if I'm wrong. If \Sigma|an| is Convergent then...
I'm wondering how conditional probability relates to concepts of sample space, observation space, random variable, etc. Using the notation introduced in the OP here, how would one define the standard notation for conditional probability "P(B|A)" where A and B are both subsets of some sample...
The ABC manufacturing company purchases a certain part from two suppliers (A supplier & B supplier). The parts received from the suppliers are used to produce the company’s major product. The parts received from the suppliers are either defective or good parts. The A supplier provides 80% of all...
Hi friends,
The problem:
Assume the events A_i for i=1,2,...,n are of the same type. please trace the following relations.
P(X│A_1 A_2…A_n )= \frac{P(X)}{P(A_1 A_2…A_n )} P(A_1 A_2…A_n│X)=
\frac{P(X)}{P(A_1 A_2…A_n )}[ (-1)^{n-1} P(⋃_{i=1}^{n} A_i │X)+(-1)^{n-2} {n \choose 1}...
Hi everyone,
The problem:
Is this relation true? If so, how (or maybe where) it could be proved?P(A│B∪C)≤P(A│B)+P(A│C)-P(A|BC)
and what about its possible generalization?
thanks a lot in advance.
Hello,
I'm hoping I'm asking this in the right place. If not, I apologize.
Anyway, I have a dilemma about some basics in probabilty and pattern recognition, and, hopefully, someone can help me.
I'm not sure I understand what class-conditional pdf f(x|w_{i}) really means, and it's...
For an exponential random variable X with rate u What is E{X|X>a} where a is a scale value
from searching in internet I found that
E{X|X>a}=a+E{x}
but I can not prove it
Help please
Homework Statement
For an exponential random variable X with rate u What is E{X|X>a} where a is a scale value
Homework Equations
The Attempt at a Solution
The discrete random variable X has probability density P(X=x) =kp^x for x=0,1,... where p \in (0,1). Find normalizing constant k and E(X) as functions of p. For each integer x>0 find P(X>=x) and hence find P(X=y|X>=x) for each integer y>0.
found k=1-p
E(X)=\sum kxp^x =p/(1-p)
P(X>=x) =...
Homework Statement
A car dealer estimates that 50% of customers entering the dealership will buy a normal car, 20% will buy a high-end car, and 30% are just browsing. If 5 customers enter his dealership on a particular day, what is the probability that two will purchase high-end models, one...
I am attempting to do a simple volume integral over a particular shape. However Mathematica will not simply return an answer. For my input
Volume = Integrate[
Integrate[Integrate[1, {z, 0, c}], {y, 0, b}], {x, 0, a}] +
Integrate[
Integrate[Integrate[1, {z, c, c + a}], {y, b/2, b...
How can I find the conditional probability density function of a dependent variable given the independent variable set. Say, Y is some deterministic function of a set of variables X , or Y=f(X)+e.
How can I fine the conditional pdf or P(Y|X) ?
How would I evaluate the following:
P(A|(B or C)) where B and C are two mutually exclusive events.
I have scoured a couple texts and the internet but have made no headway, any insight would be greatly appreciated.
QN
"Every student in this class has studied calculus".
Q(x): x is in this class.
P(x): x has studied calculus.
How come we have Q(x)->P(x) but not Q(x) ^ P(x)? What really is the difference?
This is part of the study guide for an exam and I'm not sure how to start.
Homework Statement
Consider three identical-looking dice. Two of the dice are ordinary fair dice (six equally-likely faces, numbered 1,2,...,6), but the third die is "loaded" (the face that ordinarily has a 1 has...
I have a long C++ program that has a few simple statements in it. At the beginning I have ;
#define NUM_DP 10
Further on in the program I have this conditional statement;
short int ct, j;
.
.
.
ct = op2.test(op2.num);
if (ct < (NUM_DP - 1))
for (j = 1; j < 20...
Hello,
I need help constructing a drop-down menu in Mathematica with options depending on the selection from a previous drop-down menu. The example is first the user selects a continent, and then the second drop-down menu shows the respective countries.
Any help would be much appreciated.
Consider this scenario:
"From families with three children, a family is selected at random and found
to have a boy. What is the probability that the boy has an older brother
and a younger sister? Assume that in a three-child family all gender
distributions have equal probabilities."...
Homework Statement
(Question is #6 on p.171 in An Introduction to Probability and Statistics by Ruhatgi & Saleh)
Let X have PMF Pλ{X=x} = λxe-λ/x!, x=0,1,2...
and suppose that λ is a realization of a RV Λ with PDF
f(λ)=e-λ, λ>0.
Find E(e-Λ|X=1)
The Attempt at a Solution
The...
I could have posted this in the homework section but I didn't see a section on probability. Also, this is more of a general conditional probability question asked through an example.
A band called Radiohead is inspired by an old band called The Beatles.
50% of music critics think the beatles was...
A band called Radiohead is inspired by an old band called The Beatles.
50% of music critics think the beatles was a great (G) band, 40% that it
was moderate (M) and 10% that it was awful (A). These critics have also
compiled the following table:0.8 0.1 0.1
0.1 0.9 0
0.2 0.3 0.5The table says...
Homework Statement
99% of all babies survive delivery. However, 10 % of all births involve Cesarean (C) sections, and when a C section is performed the baby survives 98% of the time. If a randomly chosen pregnant woman does not have a C section, what is the probability that her baby survives...
Homework Statement
The old TV game Let’s Make a Deal hosted by Monty Hall could be summarized as
follows. Suppose you are on a game show, and you are given the choice of three doors.
Behind one door is a car, behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say number 1,
and the host, who knows...
Homework Statement
A card is picked at random from N cards labeled 1,2,...,N and the number that appears is X. A second card is picked at random from cards numbered 1,2,..., X and its number is Y. Find the conditional distribution of X given Y = y.
Homework Equations
P(X = x | Y = y) =...
Homework Statement
Suppose that $Y$ is a random variable, $\mathcal{G}$ a $\sigma$-algebra, $E|Y| < \infty$. Show that $Y = E(Y|\mathcal{G})$ a.s. (a.s. = almost surely).
Homework Equations
We're given $Y$ integrable.
The Attempt at a Solution
It's recommended as a hint to prove...
Homework Statement
4 balls are placed successively into 4 cells, all 4^4 arrangements being equally probable. Given that the first 2 balls are in different cells (event B), what is the probability that one cell contains exactly 3 balls (event A)?
Homework Equations
P(A|B) = P(A...
In a paper, I have found this relationship:
E(X|Y<y)=Cov(X,Y)*E(Y|Y<y)/Var(Y)
It seems to me that the previous equation holds if, for instance, X=aY+Z with Z and Y independent and a non zero.
It also holds if (X,Y) is a bivariate normal (with non zero correlation).
But does it hold...
The attached equation is from
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution
can anyone show me why the conditional variance is equal to (1-rou^2)* variance of y
thanks
So i a need to find E[XY], expected value of XY
But the process of finding E[X] includes a long and tideous integral which i am trying to avoid.
So computing E[XY] using its formula is also something i am trying to avoid.
But could i use this identity?
E[XY] = E[E(XY/Y)] = E[Y[E(X/Y)]]...
Hello, in relation to Markov chains, could you please clarify the following equations:
In particular, could you please expand on why the first line is equal. Surely from , along with the first equation, this implies that:
I just don't see why they are all equal. Please could you...
Homework Statement
Students who actively participate in class are 4 times more likely to get a good grade than those who don't. 15% of students actively participate in class; 20% of students get a good grade. A person did not participate in class, what is the probability that he got a good...
Homework Statement
A radioactive source emits particles according to a Poisson process, at an average rate of λ per unit time. Each particle emitted has probability p of being detected by an instrument, independently of other particles. Let X be the number of particlese emitted in a given...
Hi everybody.
I keep on reading Rohatgi's book "An introduction to Probability and Statistics" and I have worked out the following problem:
"An urn contains r red marbles and g green marbles. A marble is drawn at random and its color noted. Then the marble drawn, together with c > 0 marbles of...
How do I find a conditional bionomial distribution? For example, if I want the probability that k=7 (for instance, 7 could be any number depending on the experiment), given that k is greater/equal to 4. I know what the equation would look like
i.e.: F(k=7|k >= 4)= P(k=7, k>=4)/P(k>=4)...
Hi,
This is a homework problem that I'm having a very hard time with. We are given that f(x)=e^(-x) for X greater/equal to zero. The question is to find f(x|A) where A is the union of the events (1 less/equal x, and x greater than 10). I can't figure out how to go about doing this...I...
Homework Statement
I am familiar with the following kind of conditional expectation expression:
\mathbb{E}[Y|X=x],
where X and Y are random variables.
I am wondering what the following conditional expectation stands for:
\mathbb{E}[Y|X]
How these two are related? How the second...
Homework Statement
In a neighbourhood, 75% of households speak only English at home, and 5% speak only Spanish at home.
Four households are randomly chosen. Given that at least one of the four households speaks only Spanish at home, what is the probability that only one speaks Spanish at...
Hello all,
I'm reading through some code that someone else wrote and have come across the following conditional:
if 0
figure; plot(times, average);
end;
I've never seen if used without a statement to test (ie: if x>0...) and I can't find any documentation on it anywhere...
Dear all,
I am in need of an advice regarding a conditional probability... Although it is very simple, I haven't found anywhere anything similar so I am not sure I get it right...I tried numerically calculating this conditional probability using 2 approaches (in Mathematica) and I get 2...
The probability of surviving a certain operation is .55. If a patient survives the operations, the propability that his or her body will reject the transplant within a month is .20. What is the probability of surviving both these critical stages.
I am going to say P(A) = .55 and P(B | A ) =...
Homework Statement
Random variable U is continuous uniform in the time interval (0,2)
T|U (T given U) is modeled by the mgf \frac{1}{1-ut}
Find:
a) E(U)
b) E(T|U) and Var(T|U)
c) E(T) and Var(T)
Homework Equations
The Attempt at a Solution
a) This one was fine, E(U)=1
b) I...
Hi I'm having trouble doing this question, any help would be much appreciated
The time needed to defuse the bomb is modeled by a continuous uniform random variable A in the interval (0,2) The the lifetime of the bomb is modeled by a random variable B. Given A=a its assumed that B has a...
Homework Statement
1 and 2 take turns shooting at a target. Each time 1 shoots he hits the target with probability p1; 2 hits it with probability p2 each time. 1 shoots first. They stop when the target has been hit twice. What is the probability that...
a) The first hit was by 1 ?
b) Both...
I've been struggling with this problem for more than 4 days now:
Let A, B and C be exponential distributed random variables with parameters lambda_A, lambda_B and lambda_C, respectively.
Calculate E [ B | A < B < C ] in terms of the lambda's.
I always seem get an integral which is...
Homework Statement
We have a bag of n balls, n/2 of which are green and n/2 of which are blue. Consider the following experiment: We reach into the bag and pull out two balls. If they of the same type, we put them both back in the bag. If they are of dierent types we put them both on the...