In probability theory and statistics, given two jointly distributed random variables
X
{\displaystyle X}
and
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
, the conditional probability distribution of Y given X is the probability distribution of
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
when
X
{\displaystyle X}
is known to be a particular value; in some cases the conditional probabilities may be expressed as functions containing the unspecified value
x
{\displaystyle x}
of
X
{\displaystyle X}
as a parameter. When both
X
{\displaystyle X}
and
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
are categorical variables, a conditional probability table is typically used to represent the conditional probability. The conditional distribution contrasts with the marginal distribution of a random variable, which is its distribution without reference to the value of the other variable.
If the conditional distribution of
Y
{\displaystyle Y}
given
X
{\displaystyle X}
is a continuous distribution, then its probability density function is known as the conditional density function. The properties of a conditional distribution, such as the moments, are often referred to by corresponding names such as the conditional mean and conditional variance.
More generally, one can refer to the conditional distribution of a subset of a set of more than two variables; this conditional distribution is contingent on the values of all the remaining variables, and if more than one variable is included in the subset then this conditional distribution is the conditional joint distribution of the included variables.
Homework Statement
The masses of suspended particles in a sample of water taken from a lake can be assumed to be a random variable which is normally distributed with mean 2.17 and variance 0.979. Find the probability that out of 4 samples of lake water known to contain less than 1.8 mg of...
Homework Statement
For matrix X partitioned as \underline{X} = [ \underline{X}1 \underline{X}2 ] with \underline{X}1 matrix full column rank rx,
Homework Equations
prove that \underline{X}(\underline{X}'\underline{X})^{C}\underline{X} =...
Hey All,
I've just started reading a discrete math book, and in the beginning the book covers logic.
One concept I'm finding hard to understand is certain conditional propositions.
When the example uses a word problem, I mostly get it.
The statement is "If The Mathematics Department...
Dear all,
How can I find the the following conditional probability: f_Y(y/\gamma_f\leq \gamma_0), where Y=\gamma_f+\text{min}(\gamma_h,\gamma_g), where all gammas with subscripts f, g, h are i.i.d exponential random variables.
Thanks in advance
If Y1,Y2,Y2 ~ Multinomial with parameter (n,p1,p2,p3)
Prove that the conditional distribution of Y1 given Y3=m (m<n)
is a binomial with ( (n-m), p1/(p1+p2) )
p1+p2+p3=1
y1+y2+y3=n
y3=m
My Attempt:
P( Y1=y1| y3=m) = P(Y1=y1, Y3=m)/ P(Y3=m)
( n choose m and y1 ) p1^y1*p3^m / ( n...
I was wondering if there's an example of a power series \sum_n^\infty c_n (z-a)^n with radius of convergence R so that all z for which |z-a| = R there is purely conditional convergence? (no divergence but also no absolute convergence) Or perhaps a reason why that's impossible?
Homework Statement
A truth serum has the property that 90% of the guilty suspects are properly judged while 10% are improperly found innocent. On the other hand innocent suspects are misjudged 1% of the time. If the suspect is selected from a pool of suspects of which only 5% have ever...
Homework Statement
I'm currently trying to revise for exams and really struggling on this problem:
Suppose you have 3 coins that look identical (ie don't know which is which) with probabilites of 1/4, 1/2 and 3/4 of showing a head.
1. If you pick a coin at random and flip it, what is...
How to compute E[X|Y1,Y2]?
Assume all random variables are discrete.
I tried E[X|Y1,Y2] = \sum_x{x p(x|y1,y2) but I'm not sure how to compute p(x|y1,y2] = \frac{p(x \cap y1 \cap y2)}{p(y1 \cap y2)}
If it is correct, how can I simplify the expression if Y1 and Y2 are iid?
f(x,y) = x + y is the joint probability density function for continuous random variables X and Y. The support of this function is {0 < x < 1, 0 < y < 1}, which means it takes positive values over this region and zero elsewhere.
g(x) = x + (1/2) is the probability density function of X...
Hey guys, I'm having a bit of a problem with this question...
Homework Statement
If X and Y have a bivariate normal distribution with m_X=m_y=0 and \sigma_X=\sigma_Y=1, find:
a) E(X|Y=1) and Var(X|Y=1)
b) Pr(X+Y>0.5)
Homework Equations
N/A
The Attempt at a Solution...
Homework Statement
X and Y two independent random variables with distribution U(0, 1/2). Find the density of (X + Y)2|X - Y > 0
The Attempt at a Solution
I was hoping this would be simpler, but somehow I always end up with nothing.
The only thing I can work out just fine is that P(X...
Homework Statement
So I just took a probability test and I'm having a hard time with the fact that my answer is wrong. I've done some research online and I believe I am correct, I was hoping to get some input. I'm new to using LaTeX so sorry if it's sloppy. Thanks!
Problem: Suppose that the...
Hi,
1- Please explain conditional & unconditional mean square error, and their difference.
2- Which one is the solution for minimum MSE estimation? (that is conditional expectation: E \left[ X|Y \right] . I meant which one is minimized by selecting the conditional expectation.)
3- What is...
Homework Statement
Hi All, I have a homework question that I would like some hints on. I am given X and Y with uniform densities on [0,2], and Z := X+Y. The end goal is to find E[X|Z]. Now I know I can use symmetry to argue that E[X|Z] = E[Y|Z], and that E[X|Z] + E[Y|Z] = E[Z|Z] = Z, so...
Hi, everyone : I have the following problem:
We have 3 dishwashers X,Y,Z, with the conditions:
1) X washes 40% of dishes, and breaks
1% of the dishes s/he washes.
2)Y washes 30% of the dishes, breaks 1%
3)Z washes 30% of the dishes and breaks 3%.
Question: If...
Homework Statement
Let X and Y be independent and normal, then we know that
It must be the case that X+Y and X are jointly normal
Therefore we can apply the projection theorem:
which states that if A and B are jointly normal then VAR(A|B)=VAR(B)-\rho^2VAR(B) , apply the theorem to A=X+Y, B=Y...
i have a question regarding adsolute and conditional convergence of alternating series.
- i know that summation of [ tan(pi/n) ] diverge, but how do we proof it converge conditionally? (ie, (-1)^n tan(pi/n) ]
can Leibiniz's theorem be used in this case? but tan(pi/2) is infinite?
any...
Hallow! May anyone please help me on conditional probability i actualy understand how it occurs but the formula? The logic behind it!
ie P(A/B)=P(AnB)/P(B)
Homework Statement
For the random variable X with the following cumulative distribution function:
Calculate P(X\leq1.5|X<2), P(X\leq1.5|X\leq2) and P(X = -2| |X|=2)
The Attempt at a Solution
This is an exercise about a subject I'm yet to see in class, but the teacher asked us to...
I have been stuck at this calculation. There are two exponential distributions X and Y with mean 6 and 3 respectively. We need to find
E[y-x|y>x]
I keep getting it negative, which is clearly wrong. Anybody wants to try it?
Homework Statement
Determine whether the series converges absolutely, conditionally, or not at all.
a) \Sigma (-1)nn4/(x3 + 1)
b) \Sigma sin(x)/x2
Homework Equations
The Attempt at a Solution
a) positive series is n4/n3+1 .. do i do comparison test ??
b) |sin(x)|/x2...
I am trying to iterate a solution to a non-linear differential equation - but I am unable to evaluate a statement within a Do loop
Code:
Do[q = Cos[Evaluate[x'[i]/.up]]; If[ q <= 1, Print[q], Print[i], Print[i^2]], {i, 0.1, 1, .1}]
x'[i] is a solution to NDSolve
The output is i^2, which is...
Question 1)
I have X and Y independent stoch. variables
What is E[X^2 * Y | X] ?
does it generally hold that if X and Y are independent, then every function of X (eg X^2) is independent of Y?
Does E[X^2 * Y | X] then become E[X^2|X]*E[Y|X] = E[X^2|X]*E[Y] since X^2 is independent of...
Homework Statement
One satellite is scheduled to be launched form Cape Canaveral in Florida, and another launching is scheduled for Vandenberg AFB in California. Let A denote the event that the Vandenberg launch goes off on schedule, and let B represent the event that the Cape Canaveral...
Homework Statement
Components of a certain type are shipped to a supplier in batches of ten. suppose that 50% of all such batches contain no defective components, 30% contain one defective component, and 20% contain two defective components. Two components from a batch are randomly selected...
STAT134/150: Marginal distr. of a random var. w/ random var. param., given distrs
Hello,
I am a little shaky on my probability, so bear with me if this is a dumb question...
Anyway, the distributions of the two random variables are given:
X : Poisson (\lambda)
\lambda : Exp. (\theta)...
Homework Statement
An email is sent on the network in which the recipients (0,1,2,3,4,5} are in communication.
1 can send to 4 and 2
2 to 1,3,5
3 to 0,2,5
4 to 1, 5
5 to 0,2,4
0 to 3 and 5
If a message is sent to 2,3,4,5 it is forwarded randomly to a neighbour (even if this means a...
Homework Statement
I want to write the following if statement into simply manipulations using the bit operations: ! ^ & | << >> ~ +
Given an x...
if ( x == -1 || x == 0)
return -1;
else
return 0;
I am dealing with 32-bit integers. How do I go about doing this? (Note: -1 is...
Homework Statement
I'm told that of n couples, each of whom have at least one child, with couples procreating independently and no limits on family size, births single and independent, and for the ith couple the probability of a boy is p_i and of a girl is q_i with p_i + q_i = 1.
1. Show...
My questions I am looking at is:
We have twelve balls, four of which are white and eight are black. Three blindfolded players, A, B, and C draw a ball in turn, first A, then B, then C. The winner is the one who first draws a white ball. Assuming that each black ball is replaced after being...
Hi all,
I've got this very simple problem:
I know it is an elementary problem, but I never really got into that bayes' theorem, which I need to use here, right? I would be grateful for simple and plain explanation.
thanks for your time,
rahl.
box A contains 2 red balls,
box B contains 2 white balls,
box C contains 1 red ball and 1 white ball,
A box is selected at random (with equal probabilities) and one ball is taken at random from that box.
(i) Compute the probability of selecting a white ball using Bayes Rule.
A(1/3)...
The problem is stated as follows:
You have an urn with 12 red balls, 20 green balls, and 13 yellow balls. Suppose 3 balls are drawn without replacement. What is the probability the third ball is yellow given the first ball is green.
I am pretty sure I use Bayes formula, but I am not certain...
Given X follows an exponential distribution \theta
how could i show something like
\operatorname{E}(X|X \geq \tau)=\tau+\frac 1 \theta
?
i have get the idea of using Memorylessness property here,
but how can i combine the probabilty with the expectation?
thanks.
casper
Homework Statement
Chose a point at random in a square with sides 0<x<1 and 0<y<1. Let X be the x coordinate and Y be the y coordinate of the point chosen. Find the conditional probability P(y<1/2 / y>x).
Homework Equations
No clue.
The Attempt at a Solution
Apparently, according...
An event A has a 70% chance of occurring, an event B has a 40% of occurring and the event (A n B) has a 20% chance of occurring. The events are not unrelated.
If A does not occur what is the probability of B?
notation A' means (not A)
I have tried to use the formula P(B|A') = P(B n...
Homework Statement
A baseball player compiles the following information :
He hits a home run in 34% of his games
He gets a strike out in 40% of his games
In 78% of his games he hits a home run or his team wins
In 10% of his games he hits a home run and gets a strike out
In 26% of his...
Homework Statement
There are w white balls and b black balls in a bowl. Randomly select a ball from the bowl and then return it to the bowl along with n additional balls of the same color. Another single ball is randomly selected from the bowl(now containing w+b+n balls) and it is black. Show...
Homework Statement
A couple has two children. What is the probability that both are girls given that the oldest is a girl? What is the probability that both are girls given that one of them is a girl?
DO NOT assume that female births and male births are equally likely. Assume identical...
Homework Statement
A concrete beam my fail by shear or flexure. The failure probability in shear is equal to the failure probability in flexure, and the probability of failure in shear when the beam is loaded beyond is flexure capacity (ie, it has already failed in flexure) is 80%. Find the...
I've been struggling for a good couple hours on the below, and I was hoping someone might be able to push me in the right direction...
"A" represents the event "the breath analyzer indicates the suspect is drunk" and "B" represents the event "the suspect is drunk." On a given Saturday night...
Hi
I'm trying to convince myself that the conditional entropy of a function of random variable X given X is 0.
H(g(X)|X)=0
The book I'm reading (Elements of Information Theory) says that since for any particular value of X, g(X) is fixed, thus the statement is true. But I don't...
Hey!
I need to perform the following integration:
\int\limits_0^{\infty} J_1(k r)k dk
where J_1(x) is the cylindrical Bessel function of the first kind. This is an oscillatory function with amplitude decreasing as 1/\sqrt{x}. Due to the multiplication of k the integrand however, becomes...
If a hand of 5 cards are dealt from a 52 card pack (order doesn't matter), what is the probability that the hand will contain the ace of spades GIVEN that there is at least one ace?
Thanks.