- #316
pinball1970
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Yes I have flip flopped on this more than once on this.PeroK said:It's funny how the people who advocate letting COVID run its course never consider that if enough people get sick at the same time, then that is potentially worse than anti-COVID measures, because people in the health services get sick too!
The numbers in hospital ( link below) are going up from 18th -21st December, nearly 50%
We have had 9 days of exponential growth since then and are now at 183,000 cases today in a 24 hour period.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare
40,000 cases per day pre Omicron was putting about 800 people in hospital daily.
One study suggests 60% less chance of going to hospital with Omicron, so 5 times the cases (I think we will hit 200,000 soon) we still get 3 times the admissions we had mid-December.
Assuming all these new cases are Omicron, if not the number will be higher.
We were at 4000 cases with Alpha in January and news reports said the NHS was very stretched, not just beds but staff exhaustion.
Next two weeks pretty crucial, probably a lock down after NY.