- #36
mheslep
Gold Member
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How is it possible to assign profitability to a state monopoly in a meaningful way? It seems to me profitability is arbitrary in such a case, as the state can essentially charge whatever rates it whims to reach profitability. It could equally arbitrarily assign EdF a loss if it the higher (short term) goal was to provide lower rates for the public.vanesch said:I think there are good reasons to try to get away from fossil fuels in any case.
The problem with gas is that it is coupled to the oil market, and probably prices (although they are falling right now) will increase in the long term. So gas is going to be a very expensive thing to make electricity with. It is already now much more expensive than coal.
Also, although I'm certainly not an AGW alarmist, I think one will not be able to do without the issue. There is a serious probability that there is AGW after all, and even if it turns out not to be there, it will be a long time before this will be so obvious that it won't be a political argument anymore. So even if, against all odds, AGW turns out not to be real, "social AGW" will be with us for a few decades.
And finally, sooner or later, we WILL run out of cheap fossil fuels, even coal. Now, I know that the USA has huge reserves of coal, but Europe for instance, doesn't have many anymore. And, as you say, it is dirty, no matter how you turn it. Modern coal plants are somewhat cleaner than old plants, but it remains a very dirty thing.
Well, the nuclear boom in France was because EdF was a state monopoly. It was a state utility (but nevertheless, profitable).