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atyy
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RUTA said:No, I haven't read that or any Deutsch or Wallace. I was hoping you guys could save me having to do that. I started reading this link and see that it's 47 pp, so it would take me awhile to get through it. Have you read it? Can you summarize anything?
Yes, everyone's view seems to make sense on a first pass - but if you start asking whether you have missed some subtlety by trying to find a robust core to the argument, that answer is hard to find, because everyone's argument is different and seems incompatible.
Wallace summarizes the situation in http://arxiv.org/abs/0712.0149.
"It is useful to split this problem in two:
The Incoherence Problem: In a deterministic theory where we can have perfect knowledge of the details of the branching process, how can it even make sense to assign probabilities to outcomes?
The Quantitative Problem: Even if it does make sense to assign probabilities to outcomes, why should they be the probabilities given by the Born rule?"
Regarding the incoherence problem, he writes " The Subjective Uncertainty Program aims to establish that probability really, literally, makes sense in the Everett universe: that is, that an agent who knows for certain that he is about to undergo branching is nonetheless justified in being uncertain about what to expect. ... If the Subjective Uncertainty program can be made to work, it avoids the epistemological problem of the Fission Program, for it aims to recover the quantum algorithm itself (and not just to account for its empirical success.) It remains controversial, however, whether subjective uncertainty really makes sense. For further discussion of subjective uncertainty and identity across branching, see Greaves (2004), Saunders and Wallace (2007), Wallace (2006a) and Lewis (2007)."
Regarding the quantitative problem, he says "The third, and most recent, strategy has no real classical analogue (though it has some connections with the ‘classical’ program in philosophy of probability, which aims to derive probability from symmetry). This third strategy aims to derive the principle that weight=probability from considering the constraints upon rational action of agents living in an Everettian universe. It was initially proposed by Deutsch (1999), who presented what he claimed to be a by Barnum et al (2000), and defended by Wallace (2003b). Subsequently, I have presented various expansions and developments on the proof (Wallace 2007,2006c), and Zurek (2003b, 2005) has presented another variant of it. It remains a subject of controversy whether or not these ‘proofs’ indeed prove what they set out to prove."
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