- #71
Fra
- 4,204
- 629
How about this?
Let's play with idea of the many observer view rather than many world view? (or just think of MWI, but where there is a physical basis for each world, which is an subjective view)
If we instead acknowledge that each observer, actually sees a different statistical basis, and thus has acquired different priors. No finite real inside observer have something we can call complete statistical basis, or a "fair sampling".
This explains (assuming the observer is rational) why the different observers in a given population act differently. Each observers rationally act upon his own history only.
I think it's central to ask what is the point of "making a prediction"? Clearly the rational action of one observer, depends on the expected future. "anything is possible" would be a useless constraint. But otoh, a particular observer would not infer that anything is possible, since the distinguishable state space of a given observe is truncated.
I'm not sure if this makes sense to you, but I don't see this as as problem. But then I don't have the degree of realist desire you have :)
/Fredrik
Dmitry67 said:“Definitely not. Then intensity is not important. Even if we have Frequent event (90%) and Rare event (10% probability), and we make 100 tries, then all combinations are possible, like FFFFFFFFFFFF… (100 Fs), and RRRRRRRRR (100Rs which is also rare). All 2^100 branches must exist! There are 2^100 observers observing all these branches”
“Lets make that experiment. I bet we get about 85-95Fs and 5-15Rs. What is a prediction of MWI?”
“Hmmmm…. Everything is possible…”
I am blocked at this point.
Let's play with idea of the many observer view rather than many world view? (or just think of MWI, but where there is a physical basis for each world, which is an subjective view)
If we instead acknowledge that each observer, actually sees a different statistical basis, and thus has acquired different priors. No finite real inside observer have something we can call complete statistical basis, or a "fair sampling".
This explains (assuming the observer is rational) why the different observers in a given population act differently. Each observers rationally act upon his own history only.
I think it's central to ask what is the point of "making a prediction"? Clearly the rational action of one observer, depends on the expected future. "anything is possible" would be a useless constraint. But otoh, a particular observer would not infer that anything is possible, since the distinguishable state space of a given observe is truncated.
I'm not sure if this makes sense to you, but I don't see this as as problem. But then I don't have the degree of realist desire you have :)
/Fredrik