DUARS Satellite Re-Entry: Impressive Light Show & Potential Debris Threat

In summary, the UARS satellite is expected to enter the Earth's atmosphere this weekend, sooner than originally predicted by NASA. While the exact trajectory is still uncertain, it is estimated that anyone in the vicinity of the satellite's return will witness an impressive light show. However, there is a 1 in 3200 chance of being hit by debris from the satellite, made of titanium, aluminum, steel, and beryllium, which weighs around 1,170 pounds. This probability is not specific to individuals, but rather the chances that at least one person somewhere on the planet will be hit, given the current uncertainty. As the satellite's strike zone shrinks over the next few days, the probability will rise for those still within
  • #141
The moral of this story, if there is one, is don't push your luck and stay close to Evo in those last critical twenty minutes, and make sure the debris field is by you before venturing outside, only to be http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLKR3GdIK80" with something the size of a golf ball, or eye ball (see link), eck...

Rhody... :bugeye:
 
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  • #142
It looks like the impact point is Bora Bora OH NOO Mr Bill

Safety tips for Evo from from Mr Bill:

 
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  • #143
The chances that it will hit anyone is one in 3200 and since there are 7 billion people, the chance that it will hit me is one in 21 trillion. This is the first time that I've been thankful for overpopulation. Meanwhile they keep changing their minds on when and where it will fall. The next thing they say is that they no longer think it's the size of a schoolbus. The size of Texas more likely.
 
  • #144
Jimmy Snyder said:
The chances that it will hit anyone is one in 3200 and since there are 7 billion people, the chance that it will hit me is one in 21 trillion.

The odds of winning the Powerball jackpot? About 195 million to 1.

Finally found something less likely to happen than winning the lottery!

The odds of being hit by a falling satellite when you have a winning Powerball ticket in your pocket? Probably better than 50%.
 
  • #145
bobg said:
the odds of being hit by a falling satellite when you have a winning powerball ticket in your pocket? Probably better than 50%.
lol!
 
  • #146
The last link I posted now estimates re-entry over the Pacific. However, if it holds off for just 15 min more, its right on top of me!
 
  • #147
The local news reports that we may not only be able to see the fireball pass over, we may be able to hear it!

Right now they are saying to look for it passing over Oregon about 9:20 PM, Pacific Time.
 
  • #148
It's raining here - nothing to see.
 
  • #149
Ivan Seeking said:
we may not only be able to see the fireball pass over, we may be able to hear it!
Now that would be cool Ivan, what would you hear, double, triple sonic booms ?

Rhody...
 
  • #150
I doubt it will really amount to much, but I'll try to get a video and post it if I do.

Tsu is out of town and I just called to let her know. She is SOOOOOOOOOO mad that she isn't here!
 
  • #151
As projected: It just hit the southern-most point and is heading North over the Pacific towards Oregon now.
 
  • #152
Ivan Seeking said:
As projected: It just hit the southern-most point and is heading North over the Pacific towards Oregon now.

Where are you following this (data) please and will you get a shot at it? thanks
 
  • #153
Nada
 
  • #157
Janus said:
According to this tracking site, it is just passing over the horn of Africa.

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/5336250

Any links that normal people can see?
 
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  • #158
It just passed over southern Australia and appears to be heading for Canada if it make it that far.

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/theweatherspace-news

Lots of ads here
 
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  • #159
According to Polish news sites it went down somewhere near Okotoks in Canada.

But we will not know for sure till Evo gets on line.
 
  • #161
OK move along folks, there's nothing to see. It just fell on Canada, that's all.
 
  • #162
Last I heard, it was in the Pac ocean.
 
  • #163
Uh oh - Evo pm'd me last night saying she was leaving on a last minute cruise to Alaska! And I haven't heard from her since!
 
  • #164
Last night I kept thinking it may be bye bye Ivan. I walked out into the pasture and sat down near the creek, on a spot that allowed for the best view of the SW sky. As I sat alone in the dark, I began to consider that we've had a bear on the property recently [a first as far as we know], and I was sitting about twenty feet from the one place that might make a good den if the bear is actually living on the property. I've been walking around here in the dark for twenty years, often without a flashlight, but last night I felt a sense of relief as I walked back to my office.
 
  • #165
russ_watters said:
Uh oh - Evo pm'd me last night saying she was leaving on a last minute cruise to Alaska! And I haven't heard from her since!
I guess I can take my tin foil hat off now. Who says these things don't work?

Ivan, walking around in the dark among bears is a bad idead, bad.
 
  • #166
Evo said:
I guess I can take my tin foil hat off now. Who says these things don't work?

Just don't get rid of it. You may need it again.

[PLAIN]http://www.esa.int/images/Bee-Hive-6_L.jpg
 
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  • #167
[PLAIN]http://icanhascheezburger.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/funny-pictures-star-light-star-bright-first-star-i-see-tonight-i-wish-i-may-i-wish-i-might.jpg
 
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  • #168
lisab said:
[PLAIN]http://icanhascheezburger.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/funny-pictures-star-light-star-bright-first-star-i-see-tonight-i-wish-i-may-i-wish-i-might.jpg[/QUOTE]OMG! That's fantastic!
 
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  • #169
I tried to find a clip of Rick's funeral, from Northern Exposure, and was going to post it, carefully edited, as Evo's funeral, but that clip is impossible to find!

For those who weren't Northern Exposure fans, poor Rick was killed by a satellite strike. Unfortunately, special modifications were needed for the casket because Rick and the satellite had "fused and become one".

... As the unusually-shaped casket rolls into the church, antennae sticking out in all directions, the funeral attendees do their best to hold it back but soon break out in riotous laughter...
 
  • #170
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=73vw4TPgPAw

Not that I ever seen Northern Exposure. But it wasn't really hard to find :-p
 
  • #171
BYE EVO!

@Lisab, that is the funniest thing I've seen in the last hour! :smile: :smile: :smile:
 
  • #172
Borek said:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=73vw4TPgPAw

Not that I ever seen Northern Exposure. But it wasn't really hard to find :-p

Too funny! If you look at the date, this was uploaded after I tried to find it. I guess I wasn't the only one reminded of Rick's funeral by the rogue satellite.
 
  • #173
Evo said:
I guess I can take my tin foil hat off now. Who says these things don't work?

Ivan, walking around in the dark among bears is a bad idead, bad.

dlgoff said:
Just don't get rid of it. You may need it again.

[PLAIN]http://www.esa.int/images/Bee-Hive-6_L.jpg[/QUOTE]

Speaking of which, Dead German Satellite Will Fall to Earth This Week

Bye, bye Evo ... again.
 
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  • #174
Is there a site to track the path?

Predicted to hit Oct 21-23rd. End of the World is Oct 21st according to Harold Camping.
 
  • #175
Evo said:
Is there a site to track the path?

Predicted to hit Oct 21-23rd. End of the World is Oct 21st according to Harold Camping.

Maybe it's going to fall on Harold Camping :eek:!
 

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