- #106
vanesch
Staff Emeritus
Science Advisor
Gold Member
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mheslep said:Well neglect and mismanagement often approximates abandonment.
Edit: BTW I don't mean to attribute either malady to the US nuclear industry, which appears to be run amazingly well. I know a guy over at the NRC and its impressive how on top of every thing happening at every plant in the country. What concerns me is that if nuclear power is blessed as the major replacement for fossil, and unless technology makes the full nuclear cycle stupid proof then a) I don't trust that the current track record will hold when scaled up 10 and 100X, and b) I don't see anyway at all to insure that kind of record around the world, esp. the third world.
You are right that nuclear is a very clean and useful technology only under the strict condition of a safety culture - which, I can assure you, is really the case in the West since several decades. Without such safety culture, nuclear becomes nasty ; Chernobyl wasn't so much an illustration of failing nuclear technology, as it was a grandiose failure of safety culture (as was the case in the entire Soviet Union) in its most elementary forms.
Now, the question is: in how much does one have to put "lack of safety culture" into the design ? I think that if people are really stupid, no design will ever be totally idiot-proof. If you've decided to mess up, and you put everything into it, you will end up reaching your goal.
So abandoning SUDDENLY for a long period a nuclear power plant will, with current power plants, probably give a problem. However, abandoning a power plant after a few years of inactivity will not be a problem (the pool problem is only a problem for FRESH used fuel). Should one build safeguards against this ? It is technologically possible - not even difficult, but it will have a price. What price do we want to pay so that, after our civilization is wiped out, we want to respect certain safety criteria for hypothetical survivors ? And if we don't, what is the price they will have to pay ?
Chernobyl has shown us the maximum accident: the upper limit of everything thinkable in nuclear mishappening. What spread out the contamination was the huge fire, driven by a working reactor, in a big mass of graphite. I really don't expect the same kind of spread, even from a pool that puts a fire to the building. So you will have a severe local contamination in the worst case. It is not difficult to do something about that by good engineering, and the whole question is: are we willing to do so or not ?
In other words, this argument is not an argument against nuclear power in itself, because there are easy solutions. The question is simply: do we take that argument seriously, and are we going to do something, or don't we care ? A bit like: should we impose safety belts in cars or not ? This is not an argument against using cars.