- #526
kyphysics
- 681
- 442
$87 LOL
This (specifically section 3) raises significant issues with the SEC report, including simple term definition errors (like accidentally replacing the word "volume" with "value" for volume-weighted average price - there is no such thing as "value weighted average price").russ_watters said:Note, the SEC says there was no naked shorting:
Nah. I just like watching the "low of the day" price action. I'd have to be nuts to follow it on a play-by-play level.InkTide said:
That's actually pretty close to verbatim the position of people investing in GME - "buy, hold, directly register to pull the share from DTCC circulation." They just happen to be following price action as well.kyphysics said:Nah. I just like watching the "low of the day" price action. I'd have to be nuts to follow it on a play-by-play level.
I mean...mayyyyyybe if I owned the stock...even then, I'd probably not follow price action that closely. I'm mostly a value investor, so I don't care what happens to the price over the next 3-5 years. I just buy and hold. If it goes down, I buy more...traders fret every second...I fret every 3-5 years.
Astronuc said:Somewhat related to the Reddit influence on short sellers
Have you made enough money in order to buy me Updown Court -- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Updown_Court ?bhobba said:Now I am learning about options from professionals (I joined SMB Options Tribe, which has a lot of professional options traders and is run by the head options trader at SMB Capital); you realize the whole thing is simply mad - even madder than I thought before.
StevieTNZ said:Have you made enough money in order to buy me Updown Court -- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Updown_Court ?
Well, Warren Buffett does them all the time. Once you learn about puts and picking shares up at bargain prices many people indeed buy shares using puts. The reason most do not emulate Warren Buffett is simply the average investor doesn't know about it. And even if they did many couldn't be bothered. An Iron Condor is a defined risk strategy - you can't lose more than your margin which is, for that trade on the index, about $1500 - and what you mention occurs very rarely.BWV said:If everyone could make 20% per year trading options, then why don’t they?
I gave it my like. Many people in retirement use covered calls on shares they own at 10% delta, which rarely gets assigned. If it does, they have made a big profit on a stock they will likely eventually sell anyway since they are retired. Some don't want to sell and buy back the call for a loss. A test ran using it with $250k on SPY shares to create income to live off showed to make it work; you would need to reinvest 50% of profits and occasionally make use of margin:jrmichler said:Back in the 1980's, I studied option strategies. I convinced myself that a conservative low risk approach would give me returns comparable to CD's, but at higher risk. I have not touched options since then.
GME GameStop Corp. | $136.43 | -$4.57 | -3.24% |
Have you made some money from what you have currently traded? I guess it is nice to have that extra dosh in retirement.bhobba said:Will people never learn? Simply dollar cost average into a good ETF for buy and hold investing. It is very tax-efficient even if you do not do it out of some tax-advantaged vehicle since you never sell. I like NTSX because it let's you get a traditional 60/40 portfolio at 2/3 the cost:
StevieTNZ said:Have you made some money from what you have currently traded? I guess it is nice to have that extra dosh in retirement.
It's probably worth pointing out that you're in Australia and other countries may be more or less so.bhobba said:It is very tax-efficient
What you are saying here is that LEAPS provide a lot of leverage. They do. But leverage works in both directions: gains and losses. Leverage is not for everyone.bhobba said:If you get the urge to trade, do it with options. If you want to buy a share, you can do it with LEAPS at half or less than the price of purchasing the shares.
It is worth pointing out. I do not know the details of complex Australian tax law, except in general terms. The US, obviously, even more so. That knowledge is enough for me to leave it to my accountant. Financial advisors are worse than a waste of money IMHO; they hurt your returns. The Royal Commission held into them here in Australia showed what they did was close to criminal. Stay clear is my advice. Accountants are another matter. Tax codes are generally so complex you need professional advice. Having a good relationship with one is very important. I see mine at least once a year. Since starting trading, it will be even more critical. For example, it is generally thought in Australia, unless you are a high wealth individual, you do not set up a Self Managed Super Fund (SMSF). My accountant showed me the very cheap ways to set one up (it costs about $199), and providing your investing is simple; his fees are not much. You calculate the fees you pay for a retail superannuation fund and do it when it is more than the cost of setting an SMSF up. The amount was MUCH smaller than I thought (about $50,000 if I remember correctly - generally, people think you need millions). I am very positive about good accountants' advice.Vanadium 50 said:It's probably worth pointing out that you're in Australia and other countries may be more or less so.
Vanadium 50 said:What you are saying here is that LEAPS provide a lot of leverage. They do. But leverage works in both directions: gains and losses. Leverage is not for everyone.
Vanadium 50 said:One thing that I find scary about this thread is that it's clear many people are investing without goals. As they say, "if you don't know where you are going, any road will take you there."
This describes all businesses.kyphysics said:i.) fixed costs + uncertain revenue & net income (might have to go into debt to survive rough patches)
This is just untrue, in large part because:kyphysics said:ii.) low barrier to entry (thus lots of competition)
You can replace "Amazon" with "large competitor"; anti-monopoly laws are sitting unused and forgotten about. As such, one of the most common avenues of expansion is monopolistic accumulation of anything even suggesting it might become a competitor.kyphysics said:iii.) Amazon hunting you down
This applies to all businesses.kyphysics said:iv.) fluctuating consumer tastes (means your products or services can go out-of-style and you have to constantly keep up with the times)
This is dependent on internal structure, culture, what the actual wage is, etc. One of the worst examples of high turnover/pathetic retention in the retail space is literally:kyphysics said:v.) lots of employee turnover (the second Joe Smith gets a job paying higher than $7.25-min. wage, he's gone)
... in large part because they have been attempting to turn all their employees into salesmen for Best Buy's garbage "repair subscription service".kyphysics said:Best Buy
It's clear to me that you don't know what GameStop's business model actually is - GameStop is, in essence, a direct competitor to BestBuy in the consumer electronics space. You seem to be under the impression that it's somehow an exclusively game disk/physical game merchandise vendor, when in reality it's much more like RadioShack or a physical version of Newegg. The death of RadioShack and the continually unraveling reputation of Newegg are direct boons to the core retail business of GameStop.kyphysics said:GameStop is just literally a single concept store with its core product easily downloadable.
They are expanding significantly into the digital space, have been for the last year at least.kyphysics said:It's not like GameStop has a game designing department and can release their own stuff.
No, GameStop is not $500 billion in debt. I'm going to assume you meant $50 million in long term debt (it's actually $41 million as of their last quarterly report).kyphysics said:~500,000M debt
Paying off debt, expansion of the business, and restructuring internally will do that, yeah. They've been focused on increasing sales and beat expectations last quarter (net sales was $2.2 billion - for context, the net income for the quarter was -$148 million) because they are currently operating in the context of their digital ventures being constructed but not contributing to net income (the effect likely won't be known until the Q3 2022 report, as it's scheduled to launch in Q2 2022). They managed this in spite of the wobbly status of overall economic trends (the real estate market is widely thought to be in a bubble and war in Ukraine is threatening a significant portion of internationally traded food - stuff seems rather precariously trying to avoid a downturn, but nobody really knows if it ultimately will).kyphysics said:negative net income (i.e., they are losing money) last few quarters
AMC has completely different market circumstances, significantly more long term debt (to the tune of about $5.4 billion), and a business model that is threatened by both physical retail (DVDs) and digital sales (downloads/streaming). Investing in raw materials mining is actually a pretty good way to hedge operating expenses; the common parlance is "diversification", and mining investment is a bit like agricultural investment - fluctuating supply but reliable demand. In that sense, GameStop's entrance into the digital space with a marketplace for NFTs and cryptocurrencies is quite similar as a diversification strategy - whether either will work remains to be seen, but the post-earnings performance of GameStop's stock is, assuming it actually reflects market sentiment, an endorsement.kyphysics said:GameStop's meme stock cousin, AMC, is investing in the gold mining space.
It's late and I'm bored/procrastinating...so I'll entertain these thoughts more.InkTide said:This describes all businesses.
This is just untrue, in large part because:
You can replace "Amazon" with "large competitor"; anti-monopoly laws are sitting unused and forgotten about. As such, one of the most common avenues of expansion is monopolistic accumulation of anything even suggesting it might become a competitor.
This applies to all businesses.
A colleague invested in AMZN recently, right before it dropped again.The largest loss in market value from the all-time high is Amazon (AMZN). Shares of the online retailer shed a remarkable $766 billion in market value from its all-time high on July 13, 2021. That's a 43% drop in market value.
Shares of Peloton topped out with a massive $45.4 billion market valuation on Nov. 18, 2021. The stock hit 176.65 on that day as it looked like people would ditch their gyms and workout at home. But now it's the Peloton investors who are sweating and perhaps hoping for a buyout. The company's market value shriveled nearly 90% from the highs to be worth just $4.6 billion now, or 13.83 a share.
BTC-USD | $29,406.35 | -$641.23 | -$2.13% |
Vanadium 50 said:You know, my lifestyle would be identical if I had a net worth of $2.2B or $13.7B.
I'd argue that both of them should be used to drop a billion on 5 mansions if not for anything else then for the simple fact that it is wise to invest in stuff that doesn't swing back and forth in value like a leaf in the wind.Office_Shredder said:It's easy to say that until you actually have that much money. Only one of them let's you drop a billion dollars on five giant mansions across the country without worrying about the cost.
The market for 200 million dollar homes is not large, it seems pretty easy to lose half your investment if demand drops a bit.artis said:I'd argue that both of them should be used to drop a billion on 5 mansions if not for anything else then for the simple fact that it is wise to invest in stuff that doesn't swing back and forth in value like a leaf in the wind.
I recall reading a story fairly recently about a super mansion that was sold originally for $250+ million and put on the market for $250 million and ended up selling for "only" $150 million, so yeah.Office_Shredder said:The market for 200 million dollar homes is not large, it seems pretty easy to lose half your investment if demand drops a bit.